Growth & Assumptions

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Market & Balance Sheet Data

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Cash Flow Projection

Year2027202820292030203120322033203420352036
Free Cash Flow2,440.13,335.614,559.786,233.228,520.819,925.0411,560.6813,465.8815,685.0618,269.96
Terminal Value---------235,225.74
Cumulated PVRunning Sum2,198.284,905.548,239.6112,345.6217,402.3122,708.6428,276.9434,120.1440,251.82129,529.07
* Scroll horizontally for more yearsAll figures in USD Millions

Valuation Breakdown

Enterprise Value (EV)$129,529.07
(+) Cash & Investments$1,403
(-) Total Debt$13,624
Equity Value$117,308.07
Shares Outstanding257.1
Fair Value Per Share$456.27
All figures in USD Millions

Calculated Fair Value

$456.27
Current Price$229.27
Margin of Safety+99.01%
Buy

AJG (AJG) DCF Valuation Analysis

Independent intrinsic value calculation based on latest financial reports.

Potentially Undervalued

Our AJG DCF calculator utilizes a two-stage Discounted Cash Flow model to estimate the true value of AJG stock. As of the most recent quarterly report (12/31/2025), AJG generated $1,785,000,000 in Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) Free Cash Flow.

Key Valuation Metrics for AJG

Forward P/E
15.41
Price to Book
2.53
Margin of Safety
99.0%
Intrinsic Value
$456.27

By discounting AJG's future cash flows using an expected return of 11%, we can determine if the stock is currently trading at a margin of safety. A positive margin of safety suggests that market expectations may be too low relative to the company's historical cash flow productivity.

Final Verdict

For AJG to be considered a fair investment at current levels, it would need to sustain a cash flow growth rate of approximately 36.70% for the next five years. This valuation model accounts for AJG's current cash position of $1,403,000,064 and total debt of $13,624,000,512. With a fair value of $456.27, AJG shows potential upside for long-term investors.

Why use DCF for AJG?

Discounted Cash Flow is widely considered the most accurate method for valuing mature companies like AJG. Using our Free DCF Calculator, you can customize every assumption in this model to see how it affects the intrinsic value.

Based on Owner Earnings (FCF)
Includes Balance Sheet adjustments
Customizable growth assumptions

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