Growth & Assumptions

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Market & Balance Sheet Data

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Cash Flow Projection

Year2027202820292030203120322033203420352036
Free Cash Flow10,159.519,326.438,561.667,859.67,215.126,785.16,380.76,000.415,642.795,306.48
Terminal Value---------68,320.91
Cumulated PVRunning Sum9,152.7116,722.2522,982.4628,159.8232,441.6436,069.2339,142.5541,746.2943,952.1969,882.62
* Scroll horizontally for more yearsAll figures in USD Millions

Valuation Breakdown

Enterprise Value (EV)$69,882.62
(+) Cash & Investments$6,297
(-) Total Debt$46,743
Equity Value$29,436.62
Shares Outstanding1,980
Fair Value Per Share$14.87
All figures in USD Millions

Calculated Fair Value

$14.87
Current Price$189.6
Margin of Safety-92.16%
Sell

CVX (CVX) DCF Valuation Analysis

Independent intrinsic value calculation based on latest financial reports.

Potentially Overvalued

Our CVX DCF calculator utilizes a two-stage Discounted Cash Flow model to estimate the true value of CVX stock. As of the most recent quarterly report (12/31/2025), CVX generated $11,067,000,000 in Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) Free Cash Flow.

Key Valuation Metrics for CVX

Forward P/E
20.79
Price to Book
2.01
Margin of Safety
-92.2%
Intrinsic Value
$14.87

By discounting CVX's future cash flows using an expected return of 11%, we can determine if the stock is currently trading at a margin of safety. A negative margin of safety suggests that market expectations may be too high relative to the company's historical cash flow productivity.

Final Verdict

For CVX to be considered a fair investment at current levels, it would need to sustain a cash flow growth rate of approximately -8.20% for the next five years. This valuation model accounts for CVX's current cash position of $6,296,999,936 and total debt of $46,742,999,040. Currently trading at a premium to its intrinsic value, investors should carefully consider the growth assumptions required to justify the current price.

Why use DCF for CVX?

Discounted Cash Flow is widely considered the most accurate method for valuing mature companies like CVX. Using our Free DCF Calculator, you can customize every assumption in this model to see how it affects the intrinsic value.

Based on Owner Earnings (FCF)
Includes Balance Sheet adjustments
Customizable growth assumptions

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