Growth & Assumptions

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Market & Balance Sheet Data

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Cash Flow Projection

Year2027202820292030203120322033203420352036
Free Cash Flow1,9142,291.062,742.43,282.653,929.344,440.945,019.155,672.646,411.227,245.96
Terminal Value---------93,291.69
Cumulated PVRunning Sum1,724.333,583.85,589.027,751.4110,083.2812,457.5914,875.117,336.6119,842.9155,250.71
* Scroll horizontally for more yearsAll figures in USD Millions

Valuation Breakdown

Enterprise Value (EV)$55,250.71
(+) Cash & Investments$4,236
(-) Total Debt$19,436
Equity Value$40,050.71
Shares Outstanding722.34
Fair Value Per Share$55.45
All figures in USD Millions

Calculated Fair Value

$55.45
Current Price$30.36
Margin of Safety+82.63%
Buy

DOW (DOW) DCF Valuation Analysis

Independent intrinsic value calculation based on latest financial reports.

Potentially Undervalued

Our DOW DCF calculator utilizes a two-stage Discounted Cash Flow model to estimate the true value of DOW stock. As of the most recent quarterly report (6/30/2026), DOW generated $1,599,000,000 in Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) Free Cash Flow.

Key Valuation Metrics for DOW

Forward P/E
16.54
Price to Book
1.38
Margin of Safety
82.6%
Intrinsic Value
$55.45

By discounting DOW's future cash flows using an expected return of 11%, we can determine if the stock is currently trading at a margin of safety. A positive margin of safety suggests that market expectations may be too low relative to the company's historical cash flow productivity.

Final Verdict

For DOW to be considered a fair investment at current levels, it would need to sustain a cash flow growth rate of approximately 19.70% for the next five years. This valuation model accounts for DOW's current cash position of $4,236,000,000 and total debt of $19,435,999,232. With a fair value of $55.45, DOW shows potential upside for long-term investors.

Why use DCF for DOW?

Discounted Cash Flow is widely considered the most accurate method for valuing mature companies like DOW. Using our Free DCF Calculator, you can customize every assumption in this model to see how it affects the intrinsic value.

Based on Owner Earnings (FCF)
Includes Balance Sheet adjustments
Customizable growth assumptions

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