Growth & Assumptions

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Market & Balance Sheet Data

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Cash Flow Projection

Year2027202820292030203120322033203420352036
Free Cash Flow2,958.953,515.234,176.14,961.215,893.916,629.477,456.838,387.449,434.210,611.58
Terminal Value---------136,624.13
Cumulated PVRunning Sum2,665.725,518.778,572.2911,840.3915,338.1418,882.5322,474.1726,113.7129,801.7781,655.9
* Scroll horizontally for more yearsAll figures in USD Millions

Valuation Breakdown

Enterprise Value (EV)$81,655.9
(+) Cash & Investments$5,934.9
(-) Total Debt$170.9
Equity Value$87,419.9
Shares Outstanding355.13
Fair Value Per Share$246.16
All figures in USD Millions

Calculated Fair Value

$246.16
Current Price$496.25
Margin of Safety-50.40%
Sell

ISRG (ISRG) DCF Valuation Analysis

Independent intrinsic value calculation based on latest financial reports.

Potentially Overvalued

Our ISRG DCF calculator utilizes a two-stage Discounted Cash Flow model to estimate the true value of ISRG stock. As of the most recent quarterly report (12/31/2025), ISRG generated $2,490,700,000 in Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) Free Cash Flow.

Key Valuation Metrics for ISRG

Forward P/E
43.38
Price to Book
9.89
Margin of Safety
-50.4%
Intrinsic Value
$246.16

By discounting ISRG's future cash flows using an expected return of 11%, we can determine if the stock is currently trading at a margin of safety. A negative margin of safety suggests that market expectations may be too high relative to the company's historical cash flow productivity.

Final Verdict

For ISRG to be considered a fair investment at current levels, it would need to sustain a cash flow growth rate of approximately 18.80% for the next five years. This valuation model accounts for ISRG's current cash position of $5,934,900,224 and total debt of $170,900,000. Currently trading at a premium to its intrinsic value, investors should carefully consider the growth assumptions required to justify the current price.

Why use DCF for ISRG?

Discounted Cash Flow is widely considered the most accurate method for valuing mature companies like ISRG. Using our Free DCF Calculator, you can customize every assumption in this model to see how it affects the intrinsic value.

Based on Owner Earnings (FCF)
Includes Balance Sheet adjustments
Customizable growth assumptions

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