Growth & Assumptions

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Market & Balance Sheet Data

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Cash Flow Projection

Year2027202820292030203120322033203420352036
Free Cash Flow19,325.2122,726.4426,726.331,430.1336,961.8341,308.5446,166.4351,595.657,663.2464,444.44
Terminal Value---------829,722.12
Cumulated PVRunning Sum17,410.135,855.3955,397.4376,101.4398,036.47120,121.71142,358.15164,746.85187,288.84502,200.42
* Scroll horizontally for more yearsAll figures in USD Millions

Valuation Breakdown

Enterprise Value (EV)$502,200.42
(+) Cash & Investments$10,898
(-) Total Debt$19,833
Equity Value$493,265.42
Shares Outstanding885.22
Fair Value Per Share$557.22
All figures in USD Millions

Calculated Fair Value

$557.22
Current Price$521
Margin of Safety+6.95%
Buy

MA (MA) DCF Valuation Analysis

Independent intrinsic value calculation based on latest financial reports.

Potentially Undervalued

Our MA DCF calculator utilizes a two-stage Discounted Cash Flow model to estimate the true value of MA stock. As of the most recent quarterly report (12/31/2025), MA generated $16,433,000,000 in Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) Free Cash Flow.

Key Valuation Metrics for MA

Forward P/E
23.02
Price to Book
60.20
Margin of Safety
7.0%
Intrinsic Value
$557.22

By discounting MA's future cash flows using an expected return of 11%, we can determine if the stock is currently trading at a margin of safety. A positive margin of safety suggests that market expectations may be too low relative to the company's historical cash flow productivity.

Final Verdict

For MA to be considered a fair investment at current levels, it would need to sustain a cash flow growth rate of approximately 17.60% for the next five years. This valuation model accounts for MA's current cash position of $10,897,999,872 and total debt of $19,832,999,936. With a fair value of $557.22, MA shows potential upside for long-term investors.

Why use DCF for MA?

Discounted Cash Flow is widely considered the most accurate method for valuing mature companies like MA. Using our Free DCF Calculator, you can customize every assumption in this model to see how it affects the intrinsic value.

Based on Owner Earnings (FCF)
Includes Balance Sheet adjustments
Customizable growth assumptions

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